While I do enjoy forecasting the weather for the state of Nebraska, it can also be very, very frustrating. Sometimes there are things that just can’t be foreseen. For example, you may have heard of the term “Butterfly Effect” used by some weather forecasters and how it can ruin a perfectly good forecast. If you’ve seen the movie, you may already have a good idea what I mean! The most basic way the butterfly effect is explained, and it is a little out there, but it is the idea of a butterfly flapping its wings in Australia causing a small wind current.
That wind current then gets another pocket of air moving in turn moving more and more air and by the time it is all said and done, there’s a hurricane off of the coast of Florida. Now this is an extreme way of explaining all of this, but it does have its merits.
A lot of weather forecasts that end up being wrong are because of an outside factor (a butterfly?) that wasn’t noticed or couldn’t be detected. One example of a butterfly effect that is easily seen is the idea of training thunderstorms. There are times one thunderstorm forms and in its wake, it leaves ideal conditions for another to form and then another, then another.
Weather Last Week
March 31: 29/41/0.19”
April 1: 35/48/0.03”
April 2: 24/47/0.06”
April 3: 19/49/0.08”
April 4: 18/36/0.01”
April 5: 13/48/0”
April 6: 17/60/0”
Forecast discussion for the week ahead:
After a rather active start to the month of April, the weather is going to quiet down a little bit. It’s looking dry for the next several days except for a quick cold front moving through Saturday night giving us a chance for some showers and storms. It will cool us off a little for next week, too.